Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 11.955065 13.741961 15.655537 17.851559 20.296199 22.928109 25.969907
2025-08-03 9.121905 11.450757 14.122818 17.393940 21.267560 25.684829 31.078075
2025-08-10 7.424033 9.982978 13.079162 17.058071 21.988574 27.848251 35.284602
2025-08-17 6.188859 8.839384 12.197358 16.694479 22.482178 29.597824 38.914804
2025-08-24 5.254520 7.931008 11.466174 16.377836 22.912420 31.185303 42.310521
2025-08-31 4.438555 7.065767 10.676623 15.869704 22.994449 32.259587 45.023669
2025-09-07 3.956703 6.604134 10.372502 15.957113 23.823741 34.288863 49.001441
2025-09-14 3.529818 6.167705 10.050701 15.970835 24.518342 36.131211 52.764283
2025-09-21 3.208050 5.851238 9.865313 16.146801 25.421473 38.263324 56.965140
2025-09-28 2.884849 5.493278 9.579457 16.139762 26.039761 40.000592 60.658852
2025-10-05 2.695716 5.332917 9.578527 16.548521 27.266516 42.619361 65.647520
2025-10-12 2.498298 5.135258 9.497417 16.817869 28.283585 44.958840 70.299711
2025-10-19 2.285440 4.890928 9.325112 16.937477 29.087216 47.032631 74.667068
2025-10-26 1.998156 4.477334 8.834203 16.506458 29.010313 47.795683 77.145374
2025-11-02 1.763994 4.134319 8.431437 16.184994 29.074308 48.751464 79.913674
2025-11-09 1.553666 3.810927 8.032775 15.836885 29.065639 49.579337 82.496276
2025-11-16 1.374071 3.526370 7.677521 15.533768 29.103948 50.464984 85.173838
2025-11-23 1.192366 3.212394 7.237894 15.047437 28.804335 50.798072 86.999040
2025-11-30 1.096997 3.074955 7.122178 15.131087 29.460694 52.652216 91.213050
2025-12-07 1.003067 2.928290 6.974911 15.144219 29.990385 54.312263 95.159908
2025-12-14 0.933422 2.829497 6.914476 15.312630 30.791301 56.428617 99.873734
2025-12-21 0.853459 2.694672 6.767990 15.305894 31.278306 58.039777 103.818169
2025-12-28 0.815188 2.659537 6.827002 15.697156 32.486721 60.872020 109.785400